Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
Identifieur interne : 000524 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000523; suivant : 000525Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
Auteurs : Yueling Ma [République populaire de Chine] ; Yadong Zhao [République populaire de Chine] ; Jiangtao Liu [République populaire de Chine] ; Xiaotao He [République populaire de Chine] ; Bo Wang [République populaire de Chine] ; Shihua Fu [République populaire de Chine] ; Jun Yan [République populaire de Chine] ; Jingping Niu [République populaire de Chine] ; Ji Zhou [République populaire de Chine] ; Bin Luo [République populaire de Chine]Source :
- The Science of the Total Environment [ 0048-9697 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
Meteorological parameters are the important factors influencing the infectious diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and influenza. This study aims to explore the association between Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths and weather parameters. In this study, we collected the daily death numbers of COVID-19, meteorological parameters and air pollutant data from 20 January 2020 to 29 February 2020 in Wuhan, China. Generalized additive model was applied to explore the effect of temperature, humidity and diurnal temperature range on the daily death counts of COVID-19. There were 2299 COVID-19 death counts in Wuhan during the study period. A positive association with COVID-19 daily death counts was observed for diurnal temperature range (r = 0.44), but negative association for relative humidity (r = −0.32). In addition, one unit increase in diurnal temperature range was only associated with a 2.92% (95% CI: 0.61%, 5.28%) increase in COVID-19 deaths in lag 3. However, both 1 unit increase of temperature and absolute humidity were related to the decreased COVID-19 death in lag 3 and lag 5, with the greatest decrease both in lag 3 [−7.50% (95% CI: −10.99%, −3.88%) and −11.41% (95% CI: −19.68%, −2.29%)]. In summary, this study suggests the temperature variation and humidity may also be important factors affecting the COVID-19 mortality.
Url:
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138226
PubMed: NONE
PubMed Central: 7142681
Affiliations:
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sort="Yan, Jun" uniqKey="Yan J" first="Jun" last="Yan">Jun Yan</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0015">Department of General Surgery, Lanzhou University First Affiliated Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of General Surgery, Lanzhou University First Affiliated Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Niu, Jingping" sort="Niu, Jingping" uniqKey="Niu J" first="Jingping" last="Niu">Jingping Niu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0005">Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School 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sortKey="Ma, Yueling" sort="Ma, Yueling" uniqKey="Ma Y" first="Yueling" last="Ma">Yueling Ma</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0005">Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhao, Yadong" sort="Zhao, Yadong" uniqKey="Zhao Y" first="Yadong" last="Zhao">Yadong Zhao</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0010">Sexually Transmitted Disease and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Prevention Branch, Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Sexually Transmitted Disease and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Prevention Branch, Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Liu, Jiangtao" sort="Liu, Jiangtao" uniqKey="Liu J" first="Jiangtao" last="Liu">Jiangtao Liu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0005">Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="He, Xiaotao" sort="He, Xiaotao" uniqKey="He X" first="Xiaotao" last="He">Xiaotao He</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0005">Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, Bo" sort="Wang, Bo" uniqKey="Wang B" first="Bo" last="Wang">Bo Wang</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0005">Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fu, Shihua" sort="Fu, Shihua" uniqKey="Fu S" first="Shihua" last="Fu">Shihua Fu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0005">Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Yan, Jun" sort="Yan, Jun" uniqKey="Yan J" first="Jun" last="Yan">Jun Yan</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0015">Department of General Surgery, Lanzhou University First Affiliated Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of General Surgery, Lanzhou University First Affiliated Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Niu, Jingping" sort="Niu, Jingping" uniqKey="Niu J" first="Jingping" last="Niu">Jingping Niu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0005">Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhou, Ji" sort="Zhou, Ji" uniqKey="Zhou J" first="Ji" last="Zhou">Ji Zhou</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0020">Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Shanghai</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0025">Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, Shanghai 200030, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, Shanghai 200030</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Shanghai 200030</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Luo, Bin" sort="Luo, Bin" uniqKey="Luo B" first="Bin" last="Luo">Bin Luo</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0005">Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Gansu 730000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0025">Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, Shanghai 200030, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, Shanghai 200030</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Shanghai 200030</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="af0030">Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai 200030, People's Republic of China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai 200030</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Shanghai 200030</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">The Science of the Total Environment</title><idno type="ISSN">0048-9697</idno><idno type="eISSN">1879-1026</idno><imprint><date when="2020">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Meteorological parameters are the important factors influencing the infectious diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and influenza. This study aims to explore the association between Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths and weather parameters. In this study, we collected the daily death numbers of COVID-19, meteorological parameters and air pollutant data from 20 January 2020 to 29 February 2020 in Wuhan, China. Generalized additive model was applied to explore the effect of temperature, humidity and diurnal temperature range on the daily death counts of COVID-19. There were 2299 COVID-19 death counts in Wuhan during the study period. A positive association with COVID-19 daily death counts was observed for diurnal temperature range (r = 0.44), but negative association for relative humidity (r = −0.32). In addition, one unit increase in diurnal temperature range was only associated with a 2.92% (95% CI: 0.61%, 5.28%) increase in COVID-19 deaths in lag 3. However, both 1 unit increase of temperature and absolute humidity were related to the decreased COVID-19 death in lag 3 and lag 5, with the greatest decrease both in lag 3 [−7.50% (95% CI: −10.99%, −3.88%) and −11.41% (95% CI: −19.68%, −2.29%)]. In summary, this study suggests the temperature variation and humidity may also be important factors affecting the COVID-19 mortality.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Almeida, S P" uniqKey="Almeida S">S.P. Almeida</name></author><author><name sortKey="Casimiro, E" uniqKey="Casimiro E">E. Casimiro</name></author><author><name sortKey="Calheiros, J" uniqKey="Calheiros J">J. Calheiros</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Anon" uniqKey="Anon">Anon.</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Barreca, A I" uniqKey="Barreca A">A.I. 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Ma</name></author></analytic></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>République populaire de Chine</li></country></list><tree><country name="République populaire de Chine"><noRegion><name sortKey="Ma, Yueling" sort="Ma, Yueling" uniqKey="Ma Y" first="Yueling" last="Ma">Yueling Ma</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Fu, Shihua" sort="Fu, Shihua" uniqKey="Fu S" first="Shihua" last="Fu">Shihua Fu</name><name sortKey="He, Xiaotao" sort="He, Xiaotao" uniqKey="He X" first="Xiaotao" last="He">Xiaotao He</name><name sortKey="Liu, Jiangtao" sort="Liu, Jiangtao" uniqKey="Liu J" first="Jiangtao" last="Liu">Jiangtao Liu</name><name sortKey="Luo, Bin" sort="Luo, Bin" uniqKey="Luo B" first="Bin" last="Luo">Bin Luo</name><name sortKey="Luo, Bin" sort="Luo, Bin" uniqKey="Luo B" first="Bin" last="Luo">Bin Luo</name><name sortKey="Luo, Bin" sort="Luo, Bin" uniqKey="Luo B" first="Bin" last="Luo">Bin Luo</name><name sortKey="Niu, Jingping" sort="Niu, Jingping" uniqKey="Niu J" first="Jingping" last="Niu">Jingping Niu</name><name sortKey="Wang, Bo" sort="Wang, Bo" uniqKey="Wang B" first="Bo" last="Wang">Bo Wang</name><name sortKey="Yan, Jun" sort="Yan, Jun" uniqKey="Yan J" first="Jun" last="Yan">Jun Yan</name><name sortKey="Zhao, Yadong" sort="Zhao, Yadong" uniqKey="Zhao Y" first="Yadong" last="Zhao">Yadong Zhao</name><name sortKey="Zhou, Ji" sort="Zhou, Ji" uniqKey="Zhou J" first="Ji" last="Zhou">Ji Zhou</name><name sortKey="Zhou, Ji" sort="Zhou, Ji" uniqKey="Zhou J" first="Ji" last="Zhou">Ji Zhou</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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